So how did we all do with the Challenge?

As I posted before, Joe Deauseault and Darren Schulz have been declared the co-winners of the 2nd Annual APBA Blog Pitching Grade Challenge.  They both smartly guessed 19 of the 20 pitchers in the Challenge.  Let’s break down the numbers of the numbers a bit.  If you’re a hurry to see the grades of the pitchers in Challenge, they’re at the bottom of this article.  The entire 2019 set is now available on APBA GO too. 

There were a total of 125 eligible entries exceeding last year’s total by four.  The average number of correct guesses was 14.7.  Of the total number of 2500 guesses in the Challenge, there were 1,839 correct for a “grade” of 73.6%.

As mentioned, nineteen was the highest attained total of correct votes by an entrant.  The lowest was eight.  Most fans guessed 15 correct, a total of 28. Out of the 125 entrants, 119 got better than half right so we all must be doing something right. 

Over half of the entrants guessed correctly between 15-17 times.  That was the peak of bell curve. 

So who was the most difficult pitcher to guess? 

I’d have to say Mike Soroka followed by Mike Clevinger.  APBA bucked the trend and went against conventional wisdom at least according to APBA fans who voted.  

Grade Votes SorokaClevinger
# A votes8670
# B votes3955
# C votes00
# D votes00

Both Soroka and Clevinger received a B grade.  Most APBA fans who took the Challenge thought they would receive an A.  In Soroka’s case, 68% of APBA fans thought he would get the superior grade. 

Frankie Montas was another tough one.  Most of you picked him to be a B but 57 of us (yes, he one was of my two misses) thought he might eke out an A grade. 

Who was the easiest? 

As the ballots started rolling in, I could tell Antonio Senzatela was going to be the unanimous vote-getter.  Over 97% of you thought he would be a D… and you were correct. 

Grade VotesSenzatelaBerrios
# A votes01
# B votes0114
# C votes310
# D votes1220

Jose Berrios was a close second.  Over 91% correctly picked him to be a B pitcher. 

Three pitchers received at least one vote for each grade. 

Grade VotesBumgarnerHamelsStroman
# A votes112
# B votes1319112
# C votes1101049
# D votes112

Cole Hamels, Madison Bumgarner and Marcus Stroman received a vote for A, B, C and D grade.  In fact, Stroman received at least two votes for each grade.


And here are the basic game grades for the pitchers involved in the 2nd Annual APBA Blog Pitching Grade Challenge.

NameTmWLERAIPGrade
Jose BerriosMIN1483.68200 1/3B
Madison BumgarnerSFG993.90207 2/3C
Mike ClevingerCLE1342.71126 B
Zach DaviesMIL1073.55159 2/3B
Max FriedATL1764.02165 2/3C
Domingo GermanNYY1844.03143 B
Marco GonzalesSEA16133.99203 C
Cole HamelsCHC773.81141 2/3C
J.A. HappNYY1284.91161 1/3C
Dinelson LametSDP354.0773 C
Kenta MaedaLAD1084.04153 2/3C
German MarquezCOL1254.76174C
Frankie MontasOAK922.6396 B
Robbie RayARI1284.34174 1/3C
Eduardo RodriguezBOS1963.81203 1/3B
Antonio SenzatelaCOL11116.71124 2/3D
Mike SorokaATL1342.68174 2/3B
Marcus StromanNYM10133.22184 1/3B
Julio TeheranATL10113.81174 2/3C
Zack WheelerNYM1183.96195 1/3C

Once again, congratulations to Darren Schulz and Joe Deauseault who will both receive the grand prize of the 2019 season on APBA GO. 

Thanks to John Herson and the APBA Company for supporting the Challenge.  I love doing this and hope it is fun for all of you! 

Thomas Nelshoppen

I am an IT consultant by day and an APBA media mogul by night. My passions are baseball (specifically Illini baseball), photography and of course, APBA. I have been fortunate to be part of the basic game Illowa APBA League since 1980 as well as the BBW Boys of Summer APBA League since 2014. I am slogging through a 1966 NL replay and hope to finish before I die.

4 Comments:

  1. I’d like to see how I did as well.

  2. Hi Matthew and Ron,
    I decided not to disclose each individual voter results. That said, I announced in the initial announcement that you were a runner-up with 18 correct, Ron Carlson.

    http://www.apbablog.com/card-analysis/19-out-of-20-joe-deauseault-darren-schulz-win-the-challenge

    Nice job!!

    Tom

  3. Tom,

    Any chance you could do the vote breakdown for all 20 pitchers?

    Jason

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