20
April

2012 IAL DRAFT & TRADE REVIEW

2012 IAL ROOKIE DRAFT REVIEW

 

1)  TWIN CITY THUNDERCHICKENS: Jeremy Hellickson P: This young righthander throws four pitches for strikes.  He is a pitcher, in every sense of the word.  Posting numbers that resulted in a B-Z grade.  His best pitch is his changeup.  Still I am not a fan.  I tend to shy away from righties without strikeout letters, ever since I was burned when I chose Dave Rozema over Ron Guidry, Oops!

2)  THREE RIVERS GAMBLERS: Michael Pineda P: This big kid gets the strikeouts that Hellickson doesn’t.  So you’d think I’d be all over this guy with a major man crush, but an early season trip to the DL has me concerned.  Yet you have to love this guy’s stuff.  When healthy he can dominate, also should get lots of run support pitching for the Yankees.

3)  CHICAGO HIGHLANDERS: Brett Lawrie 3B: Lawrie is a righthanded hitting version of Larry Walker.  Brett playing thirdbase makes him even more valuable than Walker.  This Canadian can flat out rake!  Best hitter in the draft & he can steal bases too.

4)  KENTUCKY KERNELS: Greg Holland P*: The Kernels are competing and getting this filthy reliever might be the missing piece to get Keith another ring.  Holland has it all!  With Andrew Bailey hurting, Greg might be Kentucky’s closer of the future.

5)  CHICAGO CHAMPIONS: Eric Hosmer 1B: Going into the draft, Lawrie was the #1 hitter available, with Hosmer being #1A.  Eric has a great makeup!  He reminds me of Joey Votto.  With Morneau still battling post concussion symptoms & El Caballo getting a little long in the tooth, Hosmer shows up just in the nick of time.

6)  RISING BAMM BEANOS: Ivan Nova P: They wanted Lawrie, but when he was gone, they decided to retool to compete for a playoff slot, anything can happen.  Nova is a big guy, who throws hard, being supported by the Yankees bats can’t hurt.  Ivan is a nice piece to round out a rotation.

7)  GREEN ROCK BOMBERS: Danny Espinosa 2B: Espinosa is a power hitting switch hitter, who plays 2B.  He also steals bases.  Due to his obscene strikeout rate, he’ll never hit for average, although he does draw some walks.  Also Danny is a converted SS, who can really field.

8)  MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS: Vance Worley P: Other than his grade of B, I see nothing impressive about this guy.  His fastball tops out in the low 90s & he throws an average slider.  Worley is not a top ten pick, IMHO.

9)  NORTHSIDE HITMEN: Jemile Weeks 2B: Rickie’s little brother, yet his game is a lot different than his big bro.  He’s a switch hitter, with good speed, and very little power.  I thought he was a good fielder, but he was only rated a 6.  Jemile has had trouble staying healthy.  Dustin Ackley would have been a much better choice!

10)         MOLINE UPPERDECKERS: J.P. Arencibia C: This kid has raw power!  He strikes out a lot & will never hit for average.  Arencibia will also never be better than a 7 on defense.  Wilson Ramos is head & shoulders above this guy.  Still J.P.’s pick makes some sense, as a backup to Mauer, he provides a power stick off the bench.

11)         TWIN CITY THUNDERCHICKENS: Jason Kipnis 2B: Kipnis is a converted outfielder, learning secondbase in the bigs.  That being said, this kid can hit!  I was surprised by Tom’s pick of Jason, thought he’d end up being a Champ.

12)         THREE RIVERS GAMBLERS: Aroldis Chapman P*: The absolute steal of the draft!  It’s a head scratcher that rebuilding teams would leave this Cuban out there to be gobbled up by a contender.  You can’t teach a 100 MPH fastball!  The best pitcher in the draft, period!

13)         CHICAGO HIGHLANDERS: Brandon Beachy P: Brandon has the stuff, knows how to pitch, and competes.  Beachy is a member of the Atlanta Braves rotation, which is always a plus.  He mixes his good change with his good fastball, and the results are good.

14)         CHICAGO HIGHLANDERS: Dee Gordon SS: Everyone seemed to have SS covered, which left him out there for Rob.  Moore’s draft of Lawrie & Gordon, reminds me of his draft of Beltre & Tejada, nice!  Dee is the son of reliever Tom “Flash” Gordon, and he can fly.  Gordon is a tremendous athlete, I see him developing power as he matures, outstanding selection!

15)         CHICAGO CHAMPIONS: Mike Moustakas 3B: Moustakas was rated as a higher prospect than KC teammate Hosmer.  Now both rookies are both on the Champions.  While Eric is a little ahead of Mike right now, both have huge futures in Chicago.  This lefthanded hitter has plus power and makes solid contact.

16)         RISING BAMM BEANOS: Cory Luebke P: Like I said before, John decided to compete.  But getting Luebke might be another case of getting another piece to the rotation.  In today’s game, you can never have too many good arms.  This lefthander knows how to pitch, can strike hitters out, and pitches in a pitcher friendly ballpark.

17)         MOLINE UPPERDECKERS: Kenley Jansen P*: Marc loves hard throwers & Kenley throws hard!  I was looking at Jansen as a possible replacement for Jose Valverde.  This guy is nasty!

18)         MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS: Wilson Ramos C: For a guy, who doesn’t believe in quality backstops, he has a couple of the best young catchers in the business, in Posey & Ramos.  Wilson will be an 8, hits for average, and will launch 20 homers per year.

19)         NORTHSIDE HITMEN: Paul Goldschmidt 1B: Goldschmidt walks slowly & carries a big stick.  Paul has tremendous power, but will never hit for average.

20)         MOLLINE UPPERDECKERS: Dustin Ackley 2B: Here is another case of overkill.  Marc already has Todd Walker and now he adds Ackley.  Still hard to pass on the best secondbaseman in the draft, was hoping he might slip to me.

21)         TWIN CITY THUNDERCHICKENS: Aaron Crow P*: Crow is a hard throwing reliever in the mold of Jeff Reardon.  Aaron was drafted high as a starter by the Royals, but seems to have found his niche in the pen.

22)         THREE RIVERS GAMBLERS: Mike Minor P: Another member of the Atlanta Braves rotation, this lefty looks to be a good one.  Minor pitched for Vanderbilt, the same college that produced lefthanded ace, David Price.

23)         CHICAGO HIGHLANDERS: Jordan Walden P*: Walden has hit triple digits on the radar gun.  Yet his control is poor, as is his slider.  Still you can’t teach speed.  He’ll need to improve his control if he’s going to be successful.

24)         KENTUCKY KERNELS: Hank Conger C: Conger has some skills.  Yet the Angels decided to send him down and pick up a catcher rather than give him a shot.  Maybe he’s not ready or maybe he’s just not that good.

25)         CHICAGO CHAMPIONS: Salvador Perez C: The Kansas City Royals thought so highly of this youngster that they signed him to a long term contract even though he only had 39 big league games under his belt.  Even though Perez suffered a knee injury, he remains a solid choice considering Victor Martinez also hurt his knee.

26)         RISING BAMM BEANOS: Matt Downs BAT: Matt Downs is officially the first whore pick of the draft.  Downs plays a variety of positions, none of them particularly well.  Truth be told, he’s a hitter, who just might help get the Bamm Beanos into the playoffs.

27)         GREEN ROCK BOMBERS: Desmond Jennings OF: Green Rock needed a speedy outfielder after dealing B.J. Upton to his son Marc.  Jennings has some holes in his game, starting off strong, but slumping as weaknesses were exposed.

28)         MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS: Freddie Freeman 1B: Molly Putts went back to the Atlanta Braves organization for a hitter to go along with last year’s selection of Jason Heyward.  Freeman is a clutch hitter, who is a Gold Glove caliber defender, and he’ll draw a walk.  Although he doesn’t have foot speed, this is a very nice pick, and he should be a starter at 1st for years to come.

29)         NORTHSIDE HITMEN: J.D. Martinez OF: Martinez is a doubles machine.  While he’ll never be a super star, he’s a solid hitter, who’ll replace retiring Manny Ramirez.

30)         MOLINE UPPERDECKERS: Eduardo Nunez IF: Nunez is a super utility man.  This kid can play, but he’s stuck behind Jeter, AROD, & Cano in the Bronx.  Still there’s no arguing about the value of a versatile player like this saving picks.

31)         TWIN CITY THUNDERCHICKENS: Daniel Descalso IF: Descalso filled in at thirdbase for the Redbirds, but primarily he’s a secondbaseman.  But even if Kipnis pans out, it still might be smart picking Danial, with ODOG getting up there in age.

32)         THREE RIVERS GAMBLERS: Vinnie Pestano P*: Vinnie had a nice year, has the same name as Todd’s son, and might help get the Gamblers into the playoffs as the team’s closer.  Can you say, one-year wonder?

33)         GREEN ROCK BOMBERS: Mike McKenry C: A bum, looking for a park bench.  McKenry didn’t even make the top 30 prospects for the Buccos.  He isn’t even a good backup, maybe he won’t get a card.

34)         NORTHSIDE HITMEN: Javy Guerra P*: This reliever has balls, he’s also developed a sinking changeup.  Guerra reminds me of a young Sergio Romo.  He will be a good replacement for Joakim Soria, he’s a lot like him too.

35)         CHICAGO CHAMPIONS: Jose Altuve 2B: This little man got his chance last year and he’s grabbed the starting keystone spot in Houston with both hands.  Altuve is a slick fielder and a sparkplug.  He’s a fan favorite!

36)         RISING BAMM BEANOS: Steve Cishek P*: I propose a rule, if you can’t pronounce his name, you can’t draft him.  He has a sinking fastball & a fading changeup, a nice combination for a relief pitcher.

37)         MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS: Brent Morel 3B: Morel is a line drive, gap hitter, who is a good defensive thirdbaseman.  DonS used to collect shortstops, now it looks like he’s collecting thirdbasemen, with Hanley moving to the hot corner, joining Kung Fu Panda.

38)         TWIN CITY THUNDERCHICKENS: Danny Duffy P: Another steal, when Tom announced, Duffy, there were a lot of obscenities muttered.  If everybody knew about this lefty, why was he still there at pick #38.  Danny is a lefty with a high 90s fastball, nice!  Sixth Kansas City Royals player taken in the draft.

39)         THREE RIVERS GAMBLERS: Josh Collmenter P: Josh got by with a funky motion as a rookie, usually these type of pitchers don’t do it for long.  I’d be surprised if he’s graded again.  Still, he might help get the Gamblers into the playoffs, roll the dice!

40)         CHICAGO HIGHLANDERS: Carlos Carrasco P: He’s out for the year, so he’ll only be around for one year.  Don’t really understand taking a “dead guy” in the draft, but he’ll be a draft pick next year.

41)         MOLINE UPPERDECKERS: Phil Humber P: The Upperdeckers are going for it, so taking Humber makes sense.  Phil is in the White Sox rotation and he has control, smart pick!

42)         MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS: Zack Britton P: If this guy can just hang on till the IAL gets rid of the pitcher’s hitting card, DonS is smart like a fox!  Zack has good stuff and is a battler, if his arm can stay attached he might be a good one.

43)         TWIN CITY THUNDERCHICKENS: Steven Strasberg P: I’d say protecting Strasberg was a no-brainer, but after not protecting Jacoby Ellsbury last year, I don’t know.  A very nice keep!

44)         KENTUCKY KERNELS: Mark Trumbo 1B: This big man carries a big bat, and he hits the ball hard.  With Pujols & Morales both on LAA, Trumbo is a man without a position.  Kentucky is going for it, Mark might provide a big bat off the bench at a key time, thinking ahead.

45)         GREEN ROCK BOMBERS: Adam Wainwright P: Here is another no-brainer.  Wainwright is a good one, but how long will it take for him to get his game back?

 

2012 IAL ROOKIE DRAFT GRADES

 

A+ HIGHLANDERS: Lawrie, Beachy, Gordon, Walden, Carrasco: Two superstars, Lawrie & Gordon will be lineup fixtures for years to come, Beachy is a solid starter, Walden is suspect unless he can harness control, and Carrasco is gone after this year, dead man walking.

A GAMBLERS: Pineda, Chapman, Minor, Pestano, Collmenter: Chapman is a legitimate ace, Minor is a solid starter, Pineda if healthy will be a good one, and anything beyond this year for Collmenter will be a bonus.

A CHAMPIONS: Hosmer, Moustakas, Perez, Altuve: Hosmer provides insurance in case Morneau can’t bounce back, Moustakas is sizing up AROD’s shoes, Perez looks to be this team’s catcher of the future, and Altuve adds life at secondbase.

B+ UPPERDECKERS: Arencibia, Jansen, Ackley, Nunez, Humber: Ackley is a player, but blocked by Walker, Jansen is another power arm for the pen, Arencibia has power, but little else, Nunez is a super utility man, and Humber rounds out the rotation nicely for now.

B BAMM BEANOS: Nova, Luebke, Downs, Cishek: Nova & Luebke add rotation depth, while Cishek gives them another bullpen arm, and Downs is a bat off the bench.

C+ HITMEN: Weeks, Goldschmidt, Martinez, Guerra: Goldschmidt has big time power, Martinez is a doubles machine, and Guerra will be the closer here.  I’ve drafted Jerry Browne, Bump Wills, & Josh Barfield, glad Weeks was off the board to remove any temptation.

C KERNELS: Holland, Conger, Trumbo: Holland will step into Bailey’s closer’s role, Trumbo has nice power off the bench, and Conger has talent if given a chance to play.

C- THUNDERCHICKENS: Hellickson, Kipnis, Crow, Descalso, Duffy, Strasberg: Duffy is the real deal, Hellickson might be a #4 or #5 starter, Kipnis will be a 7 at best & has a good bat, Crow looks to be a solid reliever, Descalso has no future, and credit was given for Strasberg last year.

D+ MARAUDERS: Worley, Ramos, Freeman, Morel, Britton: Ramos was the best catcher in the draft & has a bright future, Freeman is a piece to build a ballclub around, Morel has a nice glove with doubles power, Britton has a future if healthy, and Worley has reached his peak & it’s all downhill from here.

F BOMBERS: Espinosa, Jennings, McKenry, Wainwright: You get what you see in Espinosa & Jennings, McKenry is a bum, and Wainwright was just a protect.

 

2012 OVERLOOKED ROOKIES

 

1: OF Lucas Duda: He may never be more than a 1, but he’ll always have a 1.  This kid can hit!

2: P Henderson Alvarez: The sky’s the limit for Alvarez.  He has pinpoint control, knows how to pitch, and reminds me of Greg Maddux in the way he goes about his business.

3: P Kyle Drabek: Overmatched as a rookie, but will have a very productive major league career.  This is one that got away!

4: 1B Anthony Rizzo: There were enough firstbasemen in this draft that proved it as rookies.  All this kid needs is a little more seasoning in the minors.  Soon his jerseys will be flying off the shelves at Wrigley, just like the balls he’ll hit out onto Sheffield Avenue.

5: 2B Darwin Barney: It was a great year for rookie secondbaseman, with everyone taken being arguably better than Barney.  That said, this kid is not a stiff, and should get better as he matures, love his hustle!

6: OF Eric Thames: Did a solid job as a rookie, look for it to continue throughout his career.

7: P* Tim Collins: A little lefty with a big arm, a poor man’s Billy Wagner.

8: OF John Mayberry, Jr.: A very athletic big man, who can pound the ball.  Not a star, but possibly a 4th outfielder in our league.

9: OF Allen Craig: Everyone knows this kid can hit, the perfect DH.

10: P* Bryan Shaw: A reliever with good control, balls, and knows how to get batters out.

 

2012 TRADE REVIEW

 

BAMM BEANOS send J.A. Happ to the MARAUDERS for Jonathan Herrera.  A 30 year old Northwestern lefthander for a 28 year old utility infielder, hmmm, these two guys aren’t worth a second thought.  It’s kind of a wash, except it seems like a utility infielder might be slightly more valuable than a pitcher looking for the plate.

BAMM BEANOS 6, MARAUDERS 4

 

KERNELS send #2 DC (Dee Gordon), #5 DC (Carlos Carrasco), & Pineiro to the Highlanders for Michael Young, Brian Sanches, & Jon Garland.  It comes down to Dee Gordon for Michael Young and while I love Dee Gordon, I have to call this trade even because of what this trade does for both teams.  Michael Young will really help the Kernels in their quest for another ring.

KERNELS 5, HIGHLANDERS 5

 

HIGHLANDERS send Jeff Keppinger & Chris Johnson to the BOMBERS for #4 DC (Mike McKenry) & Jayson Nix.  Keppinger & Johnson provide quality backups & coverage, and allowed the Highlanders flexibility in the draft.  While McKenry & Nix are a couple of bums out wondering if you have any spare change.

HIGHLANDERS 7, BOMBERS 3

 

KERNELS send Elvis Andrus & #4 DC (Javy Guerra) to the HITMEN for Hiroki Kuroda & Eric Young, Jr.  Here again, even though Andrus is a top flight SS and Kuroda is an aging starting pitcher, I’m going to call this a good trade for both teams.  The Hitmen get a big time player in Andrus & a future closer for 200 B innings and speed off the bench.  GO KEITH GO!!!

KERNELS 5, HITMEN 5

 

UPPERDECKERS send Jason Varitek to the BAMM BEANOS for #5 DC (Phil Humber).  Varitek provides a good hitting backup at catcher & then he goes away, while Humber helps round out the Upperdeckers rotation.  Slight edge Upperdeckers.

UPPERDECKERS 6, BAMM BEANOS 4

 

BOMBERS send Buster Posey & Yunel Escobar to the MARAUDERS for Adam Wainwright & Adam LaRoche.  Really Mom, they’re magic beans!  Maybe Mike is trying to collect all the Adams in the league.  Seriously, a starting SS & the best young catcher in baseball for a pitcher coming back from major elbow surgery (although success from Tommy John surgery almost seems to be a given) and a bum firstbaseman.  Even if Wainwright does come back, the Bombers are taking all the risk here.

BOMBERS 2, MARAUDERS 8

 

BOMBERS send B.J. Upton & #2 DC (Kenley Jansen) to the UPPERDECKERS for J.J. Hardy & Todd Helton.  Hardy is the best player in this trade, and yet I have to give the advantage to Marc.  Upton gets on base, his card is always gonna be better than what he does in real life baseball because of his combination of speed, power, & walks.  The Upperdeckers needed a leadoff hitter, now the Bombers do.  Jansen gives the Upperdeckers another bullpen arm, while firstbaseman Helton is a stop gap measure at best.  The only plus for the Bombers is now Hardy is batting for him, not hitting against him.

BOMBERS 3, UPPERDECKERS 7

 

GAMBLERS send Howie Kendrick to the MARAUDERS for Yunel Escobar.  I know I told DonS that I liked Escobar, but I didn’t know that would put him on the “trade immediately” list.  I know Kendrick plays for the Halos, but the Marauders have Uggla at 2B, while they could use Yunel at SS.  With Pedroia at 2B for the Gamblers it makes sense to move Howie for Jeter’s eventual replacement.  Both players are virtually equal with the stick, one plays 2B, the other plays SS.

GAMBLERS 6, MARAUDERS 4  

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4
December

It’s hot stove league season for APBA leagues!

Since many leagues are finished with their 2011 season (or are wrapping it up), there is no doubt trade talk going on for the upcoming 2012 season.  I just want to point folks to this post I did almost a couple years ago entitled “10 tips for trading in an APBA league”.

Like I said, it was written a while ago but it’s just as relevant today as when I wrote it.

Also, a quick poll of those in APBA leagues… how many of you allow in-season trades?  For those that do, how well does it work for you?  What conditions or rules do you have in place to regulate the process?  Finally, how difficult is it to track stats during the year and in the archive history?

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21
March

2011 IAL Trades & Drops

IAL TRADES

MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS send SS EVERTH CABRERA to the RISING BAMM BEANO’S in exchange for SS RAFAEL FURCAL.  Don’t really like either player.  Cabrera is younger and is likely to get older.  While Furcal is older and might retire sooner.
MARAUDERS 5, BAMM BEANO’S 5 – EVEN

MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS send 2B JEFF KEPPINGER to the GREEN ROCK BOMBERS in exchange for P CARLOS ZAMBRANO.  Keppinger is a utility infielder.  But this year he is a fulltime secondbaseman, the Bombers needed one of those, thus the trade.  Gonna miss Papa Bunch’s swearing @ BIG Z, when Carlos walks the bases loaded.  Zambrano has the talent to be a front-end starter.
MARAUDERS 7, BOMBERS 3 – ADVANTAGE MOLLY PUTTS

CHICAGO HIGHLANDERS send 2B HOWIE KENDRICK & #3DC (P BRIAN MATUSZ) to the THREE RIVERS GAMBLERS in exchange for P* BRIAN SANCHES & P* CRAIG BRESLOW.  Look at what Molly Putts got for a regular secondbaseman and then look at what the Highlanders got for a regular secondbaseman, and Kendrick is better than Keppinger, this one is a real head scratcher!  A couple of journeyman relief pitchers for a starting secondbaseman and a starting pitcher.
HIGHLANDERS 2, GAMBLERS 8 – ADVANTAGE GAMBLERS

TWIN CITIES THUNDERCHICKENS send IF JULIO LUGO & P* JOSE MIJARES to the CHICAGO CHAMPIONS in exchange for IF FELIPE LOPEZ & P* HIDEKI OKAJIMA.  Julio Lugo is a better fielder than Felipe Lopez, Lopez is the better hitter of the two & he gives the T*Chix more coverage at 3B.  Okajima is closer to becoming a draft pick, while Mijares, although limited, is the better pitcher.
THUNDERCHICKENS 4, CHAMPIONS 6 – SLIGHT ADVANTAGE CHAMPS

GREEN ROCK BOMBERS send IF RONNIE BELLIARD to the KENTUCKY KERNELS in exchange for P DAVE BUSH.  Both are bums!  This is strictly a coverage trade.
BOMBERS 5, KERNELS 5 – EVEN

MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS send SS JOSE REYES to the RISING BAMM BEANO’S in exchange for P ADAM WAINWRIGHT.  This trade was made after Wainwright hurt his elbow & would miss the upcoming season with Tommy John surgery.  It was also known Reyes was an alcoholic & would be an underperforming shortstop.  Don’t get me wrong, I loved Reyes when he first came up, but that was long before the luster wore off.  Three things I don’t understand about trading Wainwright.  1) He’ll still be a good starting pitcher when returns in a year.  2) Why not shop him around for the best offer (there are six teams competing for four playoff slots), rather than settling?  3) Why not just draft SS Starlin Castro & keeping Wainwright than trading for SS Reyes & drafting P Jaime Garcia?
MARAUDERS 8, BAMM BEANO’S 2 – ADVANTAGE MARAUDERS

COLONA UPPERDECKERS send C JOHN BUCK & P* RAFAEL PEREZ to the TWIN CITIES THUNDERCHICKENS in exchange for 3B CASEY McGEHEE & OF MIKE CAMERON.  McGehee was stuck behind Ryan Zimmerman with the T*Chix, while Buck was behind Mauer with the Upperdeckers.  This trade was on the table for a long time, I give both teams credit for doing what was necessary to get this deal done.  Perez was cannon fodder, while Cameron was dropped.  This trade helps both teams.
UPPERDECKERS 5, THUNDERCHICKENS 5 – EVEN

CHICAGO CHAMPIONS send P* RYAN PERRY to the COLONA UPPERDECKERS in exchange for OF DEXTER FOWLER.  Recently the Champions have traded outfielders Shane Victorino, Matt Kemp, B.J. Upton, & Delmon Young, so they needed some outfield help.  Fowler also gives the Champs much needed speed.  Perry throws 100 MPH, so he’ll fit nicely into Colona’s pen.  This trade helps both teams.
CHAMPIONS 5, UPPERDECKERS 5 – EVEN

COLONA UPPERDECKERS send 3B EDWIN ENCARNACION to the NORTHSIDE HITMEN in exchange for P* MATT LINDSTROM.  Lindstrom will replace Perez in the pen for Colona, while Encarnacion provides a nice bat off the bench for the Hitmen.
UPPERDECKERS 5, HITMEN 5 – EVEN

DROPS

OF JACOBY ELLSBURY – TWIN CITIES THUNDERCHICKENS: Jacoby stole over 100 bases in two years, scoring over 100 runs & batting over .300 last year, besides that he’s a gold glover.  Some things are a mystery, why wouldn’t you protect this guy?

OF CHRIS COGHLAN – MOLLY PUTTS MARAUDERS: Coghlan batted .311 as a rookie & he’s out of Tarpon Springs, FL.  If you don’t want him, why not shop him around?

P BRANDON WEBB – GREEN ROCK BOMBERS: The Bombers protected Webb last year, after trading World Series MVP, Alfonso Soriano to get him, now he’s getting ready to pitch, why not protect him?  Ryan endured his former skipper throwing his card around, he managed a 3.60 ERA over six years, averaging 33 starts & 200+ innings per season, with a disappointing record of 64-78.

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11
December

What tempts me to make an APBA league trade

Trade season is open in our league now.  I just got my first trade offer for the 2011 season.

Oh, I’ve gotten inquiries and the “I’ve got this guy, what do need?” talk before.  Today though, I got my first firm offer.  Two players for two players.  To protect the guilty innocent, I won’t specify the details but I will say this… Manager X is serious about making a trade. 

And by that, he’s done a few things that make a successful trade a real possibility:

  1. He’s done his homework.  He looked at my roster and established what my needs were and addressed them in the trade.
  2. He’s framed the trade as a trade where the key player on both sides are extraneous players for their current teams (i.e. they won’t play a big role for our teams next year).  Since we won’t need them next year, making this trade should be a net gain for both teams.
  3. He’s giving me a choice of two players for the second player in the deal.  This is an old trick used by parents with children to get them to do something they may not do if asked outright (“Ok honey, you can either empty the dishwasher or fill it”).  They always choose the most desirable option thinking they’ve won the battle.   In this case, I’m given the choice of a particular pitcher or position player.  Given a choice always makes the deal more sweeter.
  4. Most importantly, he’s proposing a deal that is helpful to both teams.  I sort of alluded to this in point # 2 but it’s worth emphasizing.  Maybe he must have read my 10 Tips for trading in an APBA League post earlier this year.  That tip shows up at #4.  Making trade offers that only consider your own team or proposing trades “just for the sake of making trades” (yes, I’ve seen it done), serve no purpose.

 

I honestly don’t know if I’ll take Manager X up on his offer but it is tempting.  It might be a few weeks or maybe even the draft weekend in March when I make my decision.

Trade Season is open!

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24
March

2010 IAL Trade Analysis

KERNELS get Ryan Madson & Jim Johnson
HIGHLANDERS get Michael Young & Jayson Nix
ANALYSIS I knew the Highlanders would obtain Young from the Kernels, but thought it would be in exchange for Miguel Tejada, because Kentucky needed SS & Moore needed 3B.  Madson & Johnson will provide bullpen depth, while Young takes over as the starter at the hot corner for the Highlanders.  Nix is a power hitting utility infielder.  Very slight advantage Highlanders.

MARAUDERS get Vernon Wells & Jeff Keppinger
UPPERDECKERS get Huston Street & Alexei Ramirez (dropped)
ANALYSIS The best days of Wells are long gone.  Keppinger provides coverage as a utility infielder.  Street is a quality reliever.  Ramirez, while a shortstop with pop, was just included to make it a 2 for 2 swap.  Advantage Upperdeckers, only if Huston’s arm doesn’t fall off.

HIGHLANDERS get Scott Kazmir
GAMBLERS get Adrian Beltre
ANALYSIS Scott Kazmir is a quality lefthanded starting pitcher, we’ll have to see how he develops.  Todd has traded pitching in the past Brandon Webb for Adam Dunn, and C.C. Sabathia was on the block a few years back.  Beltre provides the Gamblers with a solid thirdbaseman, nice glove, decent power, nothing to get excited about.  Advantage Highlanders, based on potential.

UPPERDECKERS get Daniel Bard & Dexter Fowler
GAMBLERS get Matt Wieters & Brian Sanches
ANALYSIS Any way you slice it, the Upperdeckers got hosed on this one.  Matt Wieters is a switch hitting version of Joe Mauer, one problem – Marc already has Mauer.  Still he should’ve gotten way more than a hard throwing reliever in Bard and a fleet footed outfielder in Fowler, that pick was gold.  Sanches is a one year A*.  BIG advantage Gamblers!

CHAMPIONS get Delmon Young & Clay Zavada
HITMEN get Ryan Doumit & Bobby Crosby
ANALYSIS Doumit & Crosby return to the franchise that traded them one year ago, in exchange for the Champ coveted Young and mustached reliever Zavada.  Slight advantage Hitmen, nothing wrong with Doumit’s bat.

MARAUDERS get Randy Wells & Justin Masterson
KERNELS get Rick Porcello & Joba Chamberlain
ANALYSIS DonS should never have taken advantage of his little brother like this.  Porcello & Chamberlain are better than Wells & Masterson, and I’m not a Joba fan.  Only thing is Keith’s defense is he’s going for the playoffs and Randy is a B.  Large advantage Marauders.

KERNELS get Brendan Harris
BOMBERS get Ronnie Belliard
ANALYSIS This was a coverage trade, Bombers needed more at 2B, Kentucky needed more at SS, no advantage.

MARAUDERS get Hanley Ramirez, Chris Coghlan, Dan Uggla, Kevin Jepsen, Everth Cabrera, Daisuke Matsuzaka, & Brad Lidge
RISING BAMM BEANOS get Adam Wainwright, Aaron Hill, Mariano Rivera, Mike Lowell, Rafael Furcal, Ken Griffey Jr, & Nomar Garciaparra
ANALYSIS BLOCKBUSTER!  Marauders gave up a #1 pitcher in Wainwright, a slick fielding great hitting secondbaseman in Hill, and a 42 year old relief pitcher who is still doing it in Mariano for the best young players in baseball, Hanley.  Molly Putts also landed high average hitting outfielder Chris Coghlan & a secondbaseman who’s name is Dan Uggla.  I give the advantage to the playoff seeking Bamm Beanos, who should win 100+ this year.

BOMBERS get Brandon Webb
KERNELS get Alfonso Soriano
ANALYSIS If Webb comes back this is a steal, if Bonanza comes back on TV I’ll watch it.  Soriano will bring his powerful bat to Kentucky, just a coincidence he’s a Cub.  Kernels get the nod here.

HITMEN get Brett Anderson & Colby Rasmus
CHAMPIONS get Gordon Beckham & Jeff Francoeur
ANALYSIS Anderson is one of four blue chippers in this year’s draft & Rasmus brings a power bat to centerfield.  Beckham looks to be the Champions secondbaseman of the future.  The shine off Francoeuer’s tout boy status is gone.  Nice deal by the Hitmen.

MARAUDERS
get Jose Contreras
BOMBERS get Daisuke Matsuzaka
ANALYSIS I like Dice-K, don’t like Contreras.  That said, Contreras might take to the pen in Philly and Matsuzaka might come back from injury, or it might just a be a D for a D.  No advantage.

BOMBERS
get B.J. Upton, Delmon Young, & Matt Capps
CHAMPIONS get Jason Marquis, Hideki Okajima, & Daisuke Matsuzaka
ANALYSIS This trade allowed the Champs the flexibility to draft Beckham rather than taking a starting pitcher.  Marquis moves into the 5th spot in the rotation in Chicago.  While Okajima adds to the relief corps.  Dice-K provides insurance if/when Marquis falters.  Upton, Young, & Capps are three youngsters, who look to get older.  Both B.J. & Delmon have plenty of skills, while Capps brings his elastic arm & pinpoint control to Green Rock’s pen.  Bombers get the best of this one.

RISING BAMM BEANOS get J.D. Drew
BOMBERS get Jonathan Broxton
ANALYSIS Despite the fact that everybody hates J.D. Drew, the guy can play!  Broxton moves from being third man in the Bamm Beanos pen to ace with the Bombers.  A fair deal for both ballclubs, both got what they wanted.

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